Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Missouri State Lady Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Lady Bears +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shae Littleford | 35 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Cheyanne Kemp | 34 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Bree Stephens | 31 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Paris Santacaterina | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Julianna Gibson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Jenna Cook | 11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Linda Amaning | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11.1 |
| Emerie Bohanon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Laylah Reese | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -9.0 |
| Kamryn Griffin | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaemyn Bekemeier | 37 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | +4.9 |
| Cady Pauley | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | +5.4 |
| Maycee James | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +15.1 |
| JaNyla Bush | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Maiesha Washington | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +6.3 |
| Kendal Brueggen | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Lainie Douglas | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Faith Lee | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Audrey Hopkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter