Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears +23 (67-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Knight | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Briana Rivera | 25 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Frances Morris | 24 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Kaylee Yarbrough | 23 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | -20.1 |
| Carla Baguda | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Avary Brewer | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Aubrey Blankenship | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Alyssa Tarpley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -13.5 |
| E. Snoddy | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Martin | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Martha Bishop | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Camryn Register | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Yael Maayan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyanne Kemp | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +9.1 |
| Shae Littleford | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +13.5 |
| Paris Santacaterina | 24 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Jenna Cook | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +15.7 |
| Bree Stephens | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +6.7 |
| Linda Amaning | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +16.4 |
| Laylah Reese | 17 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +17.9 |
| Julianna Gibson | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Emerie Bohanon | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Kamryn Griffin | 8 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Ale. Cox | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kaidyn Beckwith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Carla Ramirez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Ali. Cox | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter