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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Margin 76.6% 23.4% -6.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.9% 37.1% - โœ“

Actual: Wichita State Shockers -1 (45-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Baugus 38 3-11 0-0 2-2 12 1 3 1 3 8 11 -1.1
M. Phifer 37 3-12 0-5 2-4 3 0 1 2 1 8 1 -2.9
K. Verhulst 33 0-4 0-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 3 3 1 -0.6
S. Davis 28 3-9 3-9 1-2 6 0 2 2 0 10 11 -0.1
Y. Lin 23 3-6 0-2 0-2 2 3 2 1 5 6 3 -6.4
E. Monson 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 +0.0
A. Contreras 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 +6.1
C. Swaney 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 +2.3
S. Kabernick 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.3
N. Dominguez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaila Harding 38 3-6 2-5 3-3 1 1 2 0 1 11 8 +0.4
B. White 26 3-10 0-4 1-1 6 1 1 1 0 7 6 +2.4
K. Ortiz 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -3 -7.1
J. McDonald 23 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 5 6 -2 -0.4
Taya Davis 22 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 3 0 0 4 2 4 +11.7
Treasure Thompson 21 2-8 0-0 0-2 8 3 2 3 2 4 10 -4.0
D. Richardson 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 6 2 +0.2
M. Sissoko 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 +2.2
S. Benharouga 11 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -2 +0.4
Azjah Reeves 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +9.5
Cheyenne Banks 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1.7

* = starter