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2025-12-12

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Rice Owls Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Margin 2.7% 97.3% +19.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“

Actual: Rice Owls +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amiyah Reynolds 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 2 8 -20.8
M. Reynolds 24 6-10 3-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 15 8 +1.9
J. Atchison 23 4-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 4 8 2 -1.5
N. Threatt 20 0-6 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 0 1 +2.2
K. Haizlip 18 2-10 2-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 1 -7.7
E. Sellers 18 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 0 -15.5
A. Goudeau 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 +4.9
K. Reynolds 16 3-12 0-0 3-4 4 0 2 1 2 9 2 +3.5
K. Robinson 15 0-6 0-2 4-8 2 1 1 0 1 4 1 -6.5
J. Rodriguez 11 1-2 0-0 0-4 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -8.6
L. Bello 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 3 -7.7

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aniah Alexis 35 4-9 1-3 8-8 6 2 3 1 3 17 17 +5.4
Hailey Adams 33 5-7 0-0 1-1 11 6 1 4 5 11 21 +14.1
Dominique Ennis 28 3-10 2-7 2-2 5 2 1 1 0 10 9 +6.0
V. Flores 28 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 2 1 5 3 0 +13.8
Shelby Hayes 17 5-8 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 3 15 11 +2.7
Louann Battiston 15 1-6 1-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 5 1 +4.8
Jordin Blackmon 14 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 +3.1
Myah Hazelton 13 0-0 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 +3.1
Mylee Guinn 8 0-1 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 +3.2
Jill Twiehaus 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.3
Layla Conley 2 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Pace Rickard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter