Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -9 (51-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hull | 36 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | +2.2 |
| E. Woodson | 34 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14 | -6.3 |
| M. Mayes | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -2.5 |
| E. Troxell | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +0.8 |
| B. Davis | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | +2.7 |
| R. Grohman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.5 |
| J. Stone | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | -4.9 |
| N. Chavez | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 |
| J. Coleman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| M. Daugherty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| A. Flippen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| B. Riley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Chase | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -1.3 |
| A. Schissler | 28 | 1-12 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -15 | +3.3 |
| A. Proctor | 27 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +8.2 |
| J. Talley | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0.4 |
| T. Lidge | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -3.7 |
| C. Price | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +4.5 |
| M. Nestor | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +9.2 |
| C. Spencer | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.7 |
| T. Hammond | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -2.0 |
| A. Rickman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter