Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamya Smith | 33 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 20 | +25.3 |
| Jordan Hunter | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +28.7 |
| Daejah Richmond | 29 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | +25.6 |
| Chae Harris | 20 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Cori Allen | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8.9 |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | +16.8 |
| Kennedi Alexander | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.2 |
| Paris Gaines | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +10.2 |
| Amauri Williams | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +5.7 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Ford | 29 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | -16.1 |
| H. Poock | 29 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 14 | -26.7 |
| K. Secrist | 28 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | -30.1 |
| Sharnecce Currie-Jelks | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -20.4 |
| B. Pena | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -11.8 |
| B. Baker | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7.0 |
| J. Cook | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.5 |
| E. Minch | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| D. Thomas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -0.8 |
| C. Hoover | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| G. Spink | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.8 |
* = starter