Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejah Richmond | 30 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Cori Allen | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -7.8 |
| Chae Harris | 26 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +14.1 |
| Paris Gaines | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +12.4 |
| Kennedi Alexander | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +11.6 |
| Jordan Hunter | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Tamya Smith | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Amauri Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -1.6 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Jordan Holman | 30 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | -19.3 |
| Taelor Coxford | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -10.9 |
| Brenna Burk | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Pearson McVay | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Mya Cotto | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Destinee Salgado | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Blessing Teamer | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +14.0 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Ashley Lester | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter