Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +25 (69-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 31 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -3 | -8.4 |
| Z. Best | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Asianae Nicholson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -16.6 |
| I. Smith | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11.9 |
| P. Anderson | 23 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -16.5 |
| C. Staley | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10.1 |
| D. White | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11.1 |
| J. Gage | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3.0 |
| C. Thiel | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.9 |
| K. Nimo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -22.0 |
| T. Cornish | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -10.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyahna Morris | 35 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +16.6 |
| Mjracle Sheppard | 34 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | +17.4 |
| Taylor Barnes | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | +11.4 |
| Lola Donez | 29 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +15.9 |
| Sakima Walker | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +17.0 |
| Gisella Maul | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Claudia Langarita | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Naya Ojukwu | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Isis Johnson-Musah | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Grace McCallop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Sofia Bowes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter