Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | +29.1 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +18 (73-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Lopez | 37 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Meg Lucas | 34 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | -7.6 |
| Anaya Coleman | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Deana Thompson | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +10.4 |
| Gabby McDuffie | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.5 |
| Aniya Rowe | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -12.1 |
| Ally Carman | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Janyah Bohanon | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Ella Corry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +10.4 |
| Amber Howard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Diann Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Liza Field | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Lenz | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | +6.6 |
| Catherine Gilwee | 33 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | -2.1 |
| Keira Hanson | 31 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +8.4 |
| Nikola Priede | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +13.5 |
| Jadyn Weltz | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +10.7 |
| Emma Haan | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Savanna Creal | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -11.5 |
| Jacklynn Hosier | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -6.8 |
| Annemarie Batista | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Lia Hanson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter