Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilda Sjokvist | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Thalia Shepard | 31 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +17.5 |
| India Johnston | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Zoli Khalil | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Semaya Turner | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +8.1 |
| Hannah Dereje | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Kayla Morris | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.7 |
| V. Matulevicius | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Shariah Baynes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.6 |
| A. Barnes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Aidan Langley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Yanez | 35 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | -11.1 |
| Gabby Scott | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -21.2 |
| Kennedy Austin | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | -6.0 |
| Dagny Slomack | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -2.7 |
| A. Williams | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Jade Tillman | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Heidi Williams | 21 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Delaney Yarborough | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Tiara Bellamy | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +9.8 |
| Lauren Thompson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter