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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Drexel Dragons Saint Joseph's Hawks Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - βœ“
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 βœ“ (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - βœ“

Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drexel Dragons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amaris Baker 40 8-18 3-4 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 22 11 +5.9
Laine McGurk 40 6-13 2-5 6-6 1 2 0 0 0 20 10 +7.1
Grace O'Neill 37 0-3 0-1 0-0 7 4 2 0 4 0 6 -0.2
Mariah Watkins 35 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 0 1 2 9 +5.8
Deja Evans 24 3-12 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 2 6 0 -8.8
Molly Lavin 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 +12.4
Molly Rullo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8
Júlia Garcia Roig 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.1
Emilee Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleah Snead 37 3-12 0-2 5-7 12 1 2 0 3 11 11 +5.8
Jill Jekot 37 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 1 -5.6
Gabby Casey 37 7-16 2-7 0-0 6 3 2 1 5 16 7 +2.8
Rhian Stokes 35 5-11 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 14 11 +0.7
Faith Stinson 23 4-7 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 11 9 +9.5
Cecilia Kay 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 -13.6
Emily Knouse 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -8.1
Kaylie Griffin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -6.6

* = starter