Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -2.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Chicago Ramblers -15 (44-59). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Martin * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Jaeden Pratt * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Trista Fayta * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Doneelah Washington * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | +11.1 |
| Bella Finnegan * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Kya Hurt | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +7.4 |
| Nevaeh Thomas | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0.0 |
| De'Shawnti Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Grace Nelson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Chivers * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Alex-Anne Bessette * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Brooklyn Vaughn * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -14.2 |
| Alexa Kinas * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Rosalie Mercille * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Audrey Deptula | 22 | 1-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -7.5 |
| Kendall Hendrix | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Roisin Grandberry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Nevaeh Dickman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
| Daniella Matus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter