Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole McCormick * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Luke Moore * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Camren Hunter * | 27 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Ty Robinson * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Malchiah Marable * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Harrison Beauchamp | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Truman Byrne | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.7 |
| Tyler Lee | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Javion Guy-King | 13 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -8.2 |
| Parker Applegate | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Ethan Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +6.2 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Arnett * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Reece Robinson * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -3.0 |
| Demarion Watson * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Cole Franklin | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Josiah Shackleford | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +9.4 |
| Cahmai Crosby | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.4 |
| EJ Horton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.2 |
* = starter