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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—
Margin 92.9% 7.1% -14.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.6% 7.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“

Actual: George Mason Patriots -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christeen Iwuala 38 8-11 0-0 5-6 10 2 0 1 3 21 20 +13.6
Debreasha Powe 29 6-12 2-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 14 3 +17.8
Latasha Lattimore 25 3-6 0-2 5-8 7 0 0 2 2 11 12 -3.0
Kaitlin Peterson 24 2-4 0-1 5-8 3 2 2 0 1 9 11 +11.2
Cotie McMahon 22 5-10 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 1 4 14 4 +9.7
Sira Thienou 20 1-3 1-3 0-2 7 5 2 0 1 3 13 +10.5
Tianna Thompson 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -9.9
Denim DeShields 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 2 2 -5.3
Jayla Murray 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.1

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Volker 39 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 9 3 -6.7
Z. Walton 38 6-15 0-1 8-15 5 4 1 1 1 20 15 -3.5
K. Harris 35 6-19 2-5 5-5 1 2 1 0 3 19 1 -11.2
MJ Johnson 25 2-5 0-1 2-2 10 2 1 1 3 6 12 -
M. Amoateng 19 1-3 0-1 2-4 2 1 0 0 4 4 0 -3.0
S. Blair 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 +9.2
J. Brown 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -0.6
K. Johnson 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Keyes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0
S. Littlejohn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Greenburg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.9

* = starter