Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +17 (58-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinai Douglas | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | +19.1 |
| Jordan Campbell | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +11.7 |
| Cerina Rolle | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +5.0 |
| N. Staton | 29 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | +13.5 |
| Karina Gordon | 28 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -3 | +10.1 |
| Jalei Pillow | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Eve Alexander | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Anna Mortag | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Airah Lavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Walton | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -9.6 |
| MJ Johnson | 33 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | -6.3 |
| L. Volker | 28 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -11.1 |
| M. Amoateng | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -13.4 |
| K. Harris | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -9.4 |
| J. Brown | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| P. Greenburg | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| K. Johnson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Littlejohn | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Blair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| L. Keyes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
* = starter