Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +1 (76-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor | 33 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Blake Barkley | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -3.2 |
| Allen Strothers | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4.4 |
| Jaylen Smith | 23 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Cam Morris III | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -5.4 |
| Maki Johnson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Brayden Crump | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Jordan McCullum | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Milton Matthews | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.1 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaud Marshall | 40 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +5.3 |
| Collin Parker | 38 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Matt Enright | 37 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Zyree Collins | 37 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 27 | +5.0 |
| Tate McCubbin | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | +9.7 |
| Anton Brookshire | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Quan Lax | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Tyler Wagner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Creighton Morisch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter