Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +23 (80-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -12.1 |
| Camren Hunter * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -15.7 |
| Cole McCormick * | 20 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | -12.0 |
| Ty Robinson * | 17 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -25.9 |
| Malchiah Marable * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -20.2 |
| Truman Byrne | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Javion Guy-King | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Harrison Beauchamp | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -14.4 |
| Tyler Lee | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Parker Applegate | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Ethan Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Owen Derhmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
| John Shulman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Blake Barkley * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +14.0 |
| Cam Morris III * | 20 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Jordan McCullum * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +19.9 |
| Allen Strothers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +19.4 |
| Jaylen Smith | 31 | 10-16 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23 | +11.4 |
| Maki Johnson | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Brayden Crump | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Gabe Sisk | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Isaiah Sutherland | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Joseph Carter | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Henry Sisemore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter