Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -10 (83-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +5.4 |
| Connor Sevilla | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +10.2 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Marcus Wilson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 23 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Jalen Stokes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Omer Suljanovic | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Abdullah Amzil | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer | 37 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -5.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -2.1 |
| Martin Kheil | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 24 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Jamison Guerra | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Louis Bond | 17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Cheikh Sow | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -8.9 |
| Evan Otten | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Quin Patterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +0.1 |
* = starter