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2025-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Utah Valley Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% - ✓
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - ✓

Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Hollenbeck * 38 7-17 3-8 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 18 5 +5.1
Martin Kheil * 35 1-8 1-7 3-4 4 1 2 0 3 6 2 +12.6
Lachlan Brewer * 32 2-5 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 1 1 7 7 +3.4
Jamison Guerra * 28 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 6 0 0 2 8 11 -2.0
Evan Otten * 15 2-4 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 +4.3
Caleb Van De Griend 17 7-10 2-2 2-4 4 0 1 0 3 18 10 +1.0
Cheikh Sow 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3.7
Gus Etchison 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 4 5 +5.3
Blake Daberkow 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2.0
Quin Patterson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -8.4

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevan Leonhardt * 34 2-3 0-0 2-2 11 8 3 1 2 6 24 -11.6
Jackson Holcombe * 32 8-11 1-1 1-2 7 2 2 1 2 18 17 +0.6
Tyler Hendricks * 32 1-9 0-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 4 1 +3.0
Noah Taitz * 30 3-8 2-7 3-3 4 1 1 0 2 11 7 +2.7
Isaac Davis * 28 7-10 0-1 4-6 6 0 1 0 4 18 11 -1.8
Hayden Welling 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 4 2 5 5 -2.5
Sherman Weatherspoon IV 16 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 7 2 +1.2
Isaac Hawkins 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -1.8

* = starter