Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +14 (93-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson | 40 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Jeremiah Burke | 38 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Logan Kinsey | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +1.7 |
| Gabe Oldham | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Zane Nelson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Shaun Wysocki | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Julius Rollins | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Didier Maleng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer | 37 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | -1.7 |
| Martin Kheil | 35 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 32 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -4.1 |
| Jamison Guerra | 27 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Evan Otten | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Cheikh Sow | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +6.2 |
| Gus Etchison | 13 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Blake Daberkow | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Quin Patterson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter