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2025-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Kansas City Roos Spread Result
Elo 76.8% 23.2% -
Bradley-Terry 70.5% 29.5% -
Margin 89.8% 10.2% -11.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 82.0% 18.0% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% -
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% -

Actual: Kansas City Roos -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brewer * 35 4-10 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 11 7 -2.0
M. Kheil * 34 4-13 2-11 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 10 4 -0.6
J. Guerra * 33 4-7 2-3 0-1 3 5 1 0 3 10 9 -3.6
C. Hollenbeck * 23 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 12 7 -0.5
E. Otten * 16 1-1 0-0 1-3 6 1 1 3 1 3 12 -6.2
C. Van De Griend 21 7-11 0-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 14 10 +5.5
C. Sow 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 1 1 2 5 +0.8
Q. Patterson 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0
G. Etchison 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 +2.9
B. Daberkow 7 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 5 -2.2

Kansas City Roos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grady II * 38 7-11 2-4 3-5 3 2 3 0 3 19 13 -2.4
J. Palm * 33 6-13 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 13 3 +3.3
J. Petty * 32 1-6 0-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 2 6 6 +2.6
C. Evans * 31 5-9 1-2 0-1 2 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
C. Dockery * 26 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 4 8 -1.7
J. Clark 22 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1.7
D. Harrison 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +2.1
B. Mbengue 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -0.7
K. Bundy 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +1.1
T. Booker-Lowery 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter