Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +22 (102-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny | 32 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -17.6 |
| Jordan Ellerbee | 30 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 7 | -23.5 |
| Rahmir Barno | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -14.8 |
| Rory Stewart | 25 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -21.9 |
| Michael Duax | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Gabe Tanner | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -12.3 |
| Darren Williams | 15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -17.3 |
| Isaiah Malone | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Jack Reddick | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Matthew McCarthy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 30 | 9-15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +16.7 |
| Jordan Burks | 29 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +10.9 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 27 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Riley Kugel | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| John Bol | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | +12.1 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 19 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +17.0 |
| Chris Johnson | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +22.1 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +12.9 |
| George Beale Jr. | 8 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Kris Parker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +5.6 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Zachary Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Elijah Hulsewe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
* = starter