Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +25 (86-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | -16.5 |
| Tyler Tejada * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | -24.5 |
| Tyler Schmidt * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.9 |
| Tyler Coleman * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -15.8 |
| Caleb Embeya * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Mor Seck | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -16.5 |
| Jaquan Womack | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -10.8 |
| J. Doumbia | 16 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Chike Ndefo | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Ryan Conway | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Jaiden Cole | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Ryan Skerry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | +26.0 |
| Jamichael Stillwell * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +27.4 |
| Riley Kugel * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -2 | +17.7 |
| Jordan Burks * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +17.1 |
| John Bol * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +18.9 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +13.6 |
| Chris Johnson | 11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Dev. Cambridge | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Kris Parker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.8 |
| George Beale Jr. | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Zachary Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Elijah Hulsewe | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter