Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton Lady Pirates | Stony Brook Seawolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | +20.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +9 (67-58). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Hampton Lady Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki McElrath * | 37 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Olivia Smith * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Aisha Dabo * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Aaryn Battle * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.1 |
| Kiya Dorroh * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Taylor Gibson | 28 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +15.1 |
| Kayla Lezama | 23 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Akilah Shelton | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Janaye Walker | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Tiani Abrams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janay Brantley * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +1.2 |
| Sandra Frau Garcia * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Diaka Berete * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Caitlin Frost * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Johanna Potter * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +10.5 |
| Chloe Oliver | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -13.7 |
| Nal'La Bennett | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Alex Brown | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Melissa Mwanza | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Delaney Cooper | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.6 |
* = starter