Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thalia Shepard | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -13.6 |
| Zoli Khalil | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -14.4 |
| India Johnston | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -13.7 |
| Semaya Turner | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Shariah Baynes | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Kayla Morris | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Masyn Marchbanks | 16 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tilda Sjokvist | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Hannah Dereje | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Aidan Langley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| V. Matulevicius | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +4.0 |
| A. Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +20.6 |
| M. Pass | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +11.7 |
| Tyana Walker | 22 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +14.0 |
| L. Corbett | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Q. Fulmore | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -2.2 |
| T. Watkins | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +11.3 |
| A. Shaw | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.6 |
| R. Willard | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +12.7 |
| K. Doty | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.5 |
| A. Fox | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -6.2 |
| S. Khalil | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| K. Morrow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
* = starter