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2026-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Hofstra Pride Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +3 (52-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sandra Magolico 33 4-10 0-0 0-2 9 0 2 1 3 8 7 -7.0
Chloe Sterling 32 1-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 2 -2 -1.7
Micaela Carter 31 7-11 4-7 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 18 8 +2.4
Nevaeh Brown 28 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 6 3 0 +0.4
Alarice Gooden 24 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 4 3 -7.0
Ema Karim 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 7 5 +10.4
Emma Von Essen 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -1.0
Ayen Angoi 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 +0.6

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sandra Frau-Garcia 35 4-10 0-0 2-3 4 4 5 0 5 10 8 -3.0
Caitlin Frost 30 4-8 1-2 1-2 6 0 2 0 2 10 8 +0.3
Chloe Oliver 22 2-4 1-1 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 7 5 -11.4
Janay Brantley 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 +4.2
Diaka Berete 21 2-5 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 6 1 +2.0
Nal'la Bennett 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 +4.7
Johanna Potter 19 2-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 +1.3
Melissa Mwanza 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 1 2 2 3 +1.4
Alex Brown 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -3.9
Ebere Egbirika 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -3.2

* = starter