Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Drexel Dragons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | -0.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel Dragons +8 (49-41). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Frost * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Diaka Berete * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -3.7 |
| Chloe Oliver * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -15.7 |
| Sandra Frau Garcia * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Johanna Potter * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5 | -10.8 |
| Alex Brown | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Ebere Egbirika | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +12.3 |
| Melissa Mwanza | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Drexel Dragons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laine McGurk * | 37 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Amaris Baker * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +8.5 |
| Molly Rullo * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Grace O'Neill * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Deja Evans * | 23 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Iriona Gravley | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Emilee Jones | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Mariah Watkins | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Julia Garcia Roig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.5 |
* = starter