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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Lady Pirates Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“

Actual: Elon Phoenix +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Lady Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaryn Battle 38 5-12 1-3 0-0 1 8 2 1 8 11 3 +6.4
Kiarra Mcelrath 32 3-12 3-8 9-10 2 1 1 0 3 18 7 -16.7
K. Lezama 29 6-12 4-4 7-7 4 3 1 1 0 23 20 +3.1
L. Foreman 20 3-4 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 0 2 7 10 +5.8
J. Walker 19 4-5 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 2 8 8 +20.9
A. Dabo 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 2 -6.1
Olivia Smith 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -2.9
K. Dorroh 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -2.1
A. Shelton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -15.6
T. Gibson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.9
A. Boston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +8.6

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Willard 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 +14.6
T. Watkins 24 3-6 0-0 0-2 6 3 1 0 1 6 9 -0.0
A. Shaw 24 0-8 0-1 6-6 12 1 1 0 1 6 11 +0.3
M. Pass 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 2 4 -1.6
L. Corbett 21 14-16 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 28 13 -4.3
K. Doty 21 6-10 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 16 8 +6.5
Tyana Walker 20 3-9 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 8 4 -4.8
A. Fox 19 4-7 0-2 3-3 0 4 1 0 1 11 8 -3.4
L. Anderson 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 3 +4.0
Q. Fulmore 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 +3.3

* = starter