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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Lady Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +31 (77-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jackson State Lady Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cotton 33 2-13 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 4 -3 -9.9
Rhema Pegues 28 5-12 3-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 15 5 -17.1
C. O'Neil 26 2-7 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 0 -19.7
P. Tcheuhchoua 21 0-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -17.0
M. Brown 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 2 2 8 -18.2
D. McCall 20 3-5 2-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 9 3 -16.9
A. Wilkinson 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -28.8
L. Massenat 14 0-12 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 0 -5 -13.0
S. Christmas 13 3-10 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 1 -6.5
R. Mbugua 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bonnie Deas 33 4-12 0-2 4-7 11 5 1 0 2 12 15 +26.3
Emily Robinson 32 4-10 2-6 1-4 5 3 0 0 0 11 9 +33.3
Harmonie Ware 30 9-9 4-4 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 24 18 +17.8
Ashlynn Chlarson 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 2 2 6 13 +24.0
Jenna Lawrence 23 6-11 3-7 0-0 8 0 1 1 3 15 11 +14.2
Wyvette Mayberry 23 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 7 8 +26.0
Maria Anais Rodriguez 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 +8.1
Jada Bates 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +8.2
Maryn Archer 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3.4
C. Sanchez Cerqueira 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

* = starter