Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -8.0 |
| M. Mayock | 29 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | -5.0 |
| M. Collins | 27 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -5.0 |
| G. Sprouse | 27 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +0.9 |
| J. Iturbe | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -0.0 |
| K. Sebastian | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -0.0 |
| W. Nausadis | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.9 |
| C. Eagan | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5.1 |
| L. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
| D. Hogans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Boston | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +4.7 |
| J. Nugent | 34 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +4.7 |
| G. Warren | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +6.8 |
| A. Disu | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +3.8 |
| D. Williams | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +4.9 |
| J. St. Germain III | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| W. Aljancic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| C. Hare | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter