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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: American University Eagles -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Nugent 35 3-8 1-4 5-5 3 0 2 0 0 12 9 +14.0
T. Boston 34 7-15 0-4 5-8 3 3 0 0 1 19 9 +13.0
G. Warren 34 7-8 0-1 3-4 8 1 1 1 1 17 19 +3.2
D. Williams 33 3-6 0-2 6-8 6 1 1 0 2 12 12 +15.2
A. Richard 23 2-3 2-3 3-4 2 2 0 1 1 9 10 +5.8
A. Disu 12 1-3 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 1 +5.1
D. Ryan 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 +5.9
J. St. Germain III 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
C. Hare 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
W. Aljancic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mayock 31 3-7 0-3 4-5 3 2 1 0 2 10 7 -6.4
G. Jones 30 5-10 0-1 5-5 6 0 0 0 1 15 10 -7.4
J. Iturbe 28 3-9 0-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 5 -5.4
G. Sprouse 28 1-8 0-7 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 4 -1 -8.4
M. Collins 27 10-17 1-5 5-6 8 1 1 0 0 26 19 -13.3
K. Sebastian 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 3 4 -10.2
W. Nausadis 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -4.1
C. Eagan 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 -7.1
L. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter