Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | +17.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +31.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +17 (77-60). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykayla Cunningham * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Jaylia Reed * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +1.5 |
| DeMya Porter * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Zaria Hurston * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -3.9 |
| D'Shantae Edwards * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Jocelyn Tate | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Jestiny Dixon | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Olivia Delancy | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Kiana Wilson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Xyllize Harrison | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.5 |
| Demonnie Lagway | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 40 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 25 | +10.8 |
| Marcayla Johnson * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -5 | -2.9 |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Yuting Deng | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4.3 |
| Kayla Nelms | 20 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | +14.3 |
| Kyla Abraham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Kiera Pemberton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.4 |
* = starter