Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | +31.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +40.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.1% | 99.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.1% | 99.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +54 (90-36). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Smith * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kaitlyn Bryant * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Amari Franklin * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Takya Walters-Norman * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kaia Ponder * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ny'Keria Flowers | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Charlese McClendon | 19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Alanah Pooler | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samiah Puckett | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ashley Gray | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Clearia Peterson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caylee Simpson | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shamya Reid | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Taliah Scott * | 24 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 11-11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 20 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Kayla Nelms | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kiera Pemberton | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter