Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 37 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.2 |
| E. Hardaway | 32 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +11.7 |
| D. Allen | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +12.8 |
| A. Robles | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +9.5 |
| M. Hammonds | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | +2.8 |
| I. Udo | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +8.8 |
| J. Holiman | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1.7 |
| E. Dannebauer | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.0 |
| S. Bean | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taliah Scott | 37 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 11 | -9.8 |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | -7.6 |
| Jana Van Gytenbeek | 30 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -7.3 |
| Bella Fontleroy | 26 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -8.5 |
| Kyla Abraham | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | -2.0 |
| Yuting Deng | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Kiersten Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Marcayla Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Kayla Nelms | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter