Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | +12.2 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +2 (74-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlise Dunn * | 44 | 10-20 | 3-10 | 10-11 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 28 | +6.6 |
| Katie Donovan * | 40 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Ines Garcia Monje * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Kyra Bruyndoncx * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.4 |
| Emilie Bessell * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Jasmine Timmerson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Edina Strausz | 15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Sienna Dauer | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Angeliki Ziaka | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Elena Alvarez Castellanos | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Candice Lienafa | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.2 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taliah Scott * | 44 | 5-19 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 40 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20 | +12.0 |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +12.4 |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Yuting Deng | 24 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Kayla Nelms | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -6.6 |
| Marcayla Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.3 |
| Kyla Abraham | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.9 |
* = starter