Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | UNLV Lady Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -11.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Lady Rebels -8 (54-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taliah Scott * | 37 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kiera Pemberton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Lady Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meadow Roland * | 40 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Aaliyah Alexander * | 36 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Jasmyn Lott * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Shelbee Brown * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Teagan Colvin * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Mariah Elohim | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Destiny Brown | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Destiny Leo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Erica Collins | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter