Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fox | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Q. Fulmore | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -13.8 |
| M. Pass | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.0 |
| L. Corbett | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Tyana Walker | 21 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | +3.9 |
| R. Willard | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -10.9 |
| T. Watkins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2.7 |
| L. Anderson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -1.0 |
| K. Doty | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -7.6 |
| S. Khalil | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -0.5 |
| A. Shaw | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Morrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Fauntleroy | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Taylor Barner | 27 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +11.0 |
| Savannah Brooks | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +13.8 |
| Anzhané Hutton | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +8.5 |
| Keanna Rembert | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Bobbi Smith | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +11.2 |
| Olivia Hilliard | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -4 | -11.2 |
| Zaniah Zellous | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Jayla Hearp | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Mildred Dibua | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3 | -5.7 |
| Amaya Shaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter