Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Penn State Lady Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.9% | 25.1% | -6.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Lady Lions -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Sweeney | 40 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Maggie Doogan | 40 | 12-22 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Rachel Ullstrom | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Alicia Newell | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sam Dewey | 27 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ava Persichetti | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tierra Simon | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rayne Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Murray | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Tea Cleante | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Maggie Mendelson | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gracie Merkle | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kiyomi McMiller | 23 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -9 | - |
| Vitoria Santana | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Shayla Smith | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Amiya Evans | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shaelyn Steele | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Viktoria Ranisavljevic | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nyla McFadden | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rachael Okokoh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter