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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Seattle U Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% -

Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Emmou * 32 3-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 7 -10.5
M. Drone * 30 5-11 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 10 -1 -10.8
D. Hall * 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 1 0 7 11 -8.8
K. Gumbs * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 2 0 -11.8
M. Willis * 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 1 -12.3
K. Davis 24 1-6 1-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 5 2 -0.2
T. Sant 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 3 7 -
D. Pernell 15 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 +0.3
J. Bolden 12 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 +0.6
R. Fields 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.2

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Heimbrodt * 33 6-9 0-1 5-9 3 4 2 1 1 17 17 +13.6
B. Maldonado * 32 2-9 1-5 3-4 5 4 2 0 2 8 8 +12.1
J. Yeo * 29 6-11 3-5 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 16 10 +7.6
M. Arington * 25 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 4 2 0 0 1 6 +9.3
H. Dan * 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 8 3 +6.8
M. Amos 20 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 6 7 +2.1
A. Maurer 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 4 8 +7.7
J. Christofilis 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 +5.7
J. Murphy 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -6.0
B. Felder 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.1

* = starter