Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +8.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +14 (66-52). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franck Emmou * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Mark Drone * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | -10.7 |
| DJ Hall * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -7.0 |
| Kaden Gumbs * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -12.3 |
| Makai Willis * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -11.6 |
| Kyndall Davis | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -0.3 |
| T. Sant | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Dimp Pernell | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jalen Bolden | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | +1.1 |
| Robert Fields | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Heimbrodt * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +15.0 |
| Brayden Maldonado * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +13.9 |
| Junseok Yeo * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +7.0 |
| Maleek Arington * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | +11.9 |
| Houran Dan * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +4.2 |
| Miles Amos | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Austin Maurer | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +8.3 |
| John Christofilis | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Jojo Murphy | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Brock Felder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
* = starter