Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Davis * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +16.1 |
| Hamad Mousa * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +6.3 |
| Cayden Ward * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Austin Goode * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Kieran Elliott * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 27 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +22.5 |
| Ali Assran | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Troy Plumtree | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Jason Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Maldonado * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -7.0 |
| J. Yeo * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| M. Arington * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Will Heimbrodt * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Houran Dan * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| Miles Amos | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Jojo Murphy | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Austin Maurer | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.6 |
| John Christofilis | 13 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -21.5 |
| Brock Felder | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
* = starter