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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model North Texas Mean Green Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% -
Points Off/Def 19.4% 80.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stevenson 34 3-12 1-5 4-4 1 1 1 0 2 11 0 -
D. Terrell Jr. 33 5-9 0-2 6-11 4 4 3 2 1 16 19 +8.3
C. Franklin 30 2-9 0-4 0-0 8 3 6 1 3 4 10 +6.9
D. Arnett 29 5-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 3 12 8 +7.2
R. Robinson 26 3-6 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 1 0 8 8 +6.3
B. Hammer Jr. 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 2 0 5 8 -
J. Shackleford 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 +0.2
E. Horton 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 +4.1
C. Stinson Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
D. Watson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
C. Crosby 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hammond 33 2-9 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 1 -
E. Mahi 32 7-11 2-3 1-3 5 4 2 0 2 17 15 -2.3
A. Graves 27 2-5 2-5 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 8 11 -4.4
J. Ensminger 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 4 1 -11.2
B. Knapper 24 4-11 0-6 1-2 1 2 1 0 3 9 -1 -6.1
B. Oboye 23 4-5 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 1 2 10 12 -2.1
S. Gavalyugov 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 2 2 -2.1
T. Darlan 16 1-6 0-4 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -1.2
KJ Cochran 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.3

* = starter