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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +15 (98-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Comer * 31 7-9 2-3 3-4 1 3 0 1 2 19 13 -8.1
C. Camper Jr. * 28 7-15 3-5 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 21 10 -8.1
J. Armotrading * 27 2-5 0-0 3-4 2 2 2 1 1 7 8 -4.3
T. Rolison * 26 1-6 1-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 3 6 4 -7.3
E. Price * 25 1-3 0-0 7-8 4 3 0 0 1 9 12 -3.0
C. Bailey III 27 4-11 1-2 2-2 6 3 3 0 0 11 12 +2.0
P. White 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Robinson 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Lowery 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -4.0
M. Walker 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -8.5

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Mahi * 33 4-5 1-2 1-2 3 6 2 0 3 10 13 +7.4
C. Hammond * 31 11-17 2-5 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 27 12 -
J. Ensminger * 28 2-4 1-2 0-1 10 6 0 1 0 5 18 +7.5
B. Knapper * 26 5-11 2-7 1-2 2 3 3 0 0 13 10 +7.4
B. Oboye * 19 8-10 2-2 4-4 2 1 0 7 0 22 22 +6.4
A. Graves 19 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 4 2 2 1 4 9 -2.0
Player #5147928 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 6 4 -
S. Gavalyugov 14 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 6 5 +7.7
KJ Cochran 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 4 +2.2
F. Chukwudebelu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +4.1

* = starter