Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Omer Suljanovic * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Marcus Wilson * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Niko Rocak * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Jalen Stokes * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 31 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 24 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Chase Rawlins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Jonathan Noudjihidi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Abdullah Amzil | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.1 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell * | 39 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Cameron Williams * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +5.5 |
| James O'Donnell * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -6.2 |
| Garrett Nuckolls * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Matus Hronsky * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Mikah Ballew | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Timo George | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter