Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -18 (51-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Glenn-Bello | 34 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Krupa | 34 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | +10.0 |
| A. Rocco | 31 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +5.2 |
| O. Jones | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | +19.1 |
| A. Shaw | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +12.9 |
| A. Wright | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +5.8 |
| N. Emnace | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2.7 |
| G. Anderson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| M. Hollensteiner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.6 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 10 | -8.4 |
| Emily Robinson | 27 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -10.6 |
| Bonnie Deas | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Jada Bates | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Harmonie Ware | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Maryn Archer | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -14.3 |
| C. Sanchez Cerqueira | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
* = starter