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2025-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 84.5% 15.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 85.5% 14.5% - ✓
Margin 81.3% 18.7% -8.1 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 81.6% 18.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - ✓

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keon Thompson * 34 5-12 0-5 0-0 8 5 1 0 3 10 9 +10.8
Jerald Colonel * 31 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 3 0 4 15 +3.8
Chrishawn Christmas * 29 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 6 8 -0.2
L. Patrick * 27 4-13 2-8 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 11 2 +4.9
K. Burton * 14 2-7 2-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 3 -0.1
Narit Chotikavanic 32 8-17 6-12 0-0 2 0 5 0 0 22 12 +10.8
Ahamed Mohammed 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3.0
Gediminas Alisas 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.5
Marcus Scurry 4 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -2.3
Christian Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Tichyque Musaka 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Clark * 39 9-12 5-6 7-8 3 1 1 0 3 30 20 -8.1
D. Dožic * 38 3-9 1-4 4-4 4 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
Styles Phipps * 38 4-13 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 9 4 -1.1
Javon Cooley * 37 2-6 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 2 3 6 8 -8.8
Yonatan Levy * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -4 -4.3
P. Stošic 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
Luka Vudragovic 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.3
Stefan Cicic 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +2.2
David Mager 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7
Nikola Radovanovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

* = starter