Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.6% | 92.4% | +13.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams * | 39 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -10.9 |
| Jahni Summers * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Mark Lavrenov * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -11.9 |
| Prophet Johnson * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -19.1 |
| Shaqir O'Neal * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jayden Teat | 21 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +8.1 |
| Brandon Gardner | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Arman Madi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Jeremiah Nyarko | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Taj Glover | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Romari Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph * | 40 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | +9.5 |
| TJ Wainwright * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Justin Rochelin * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +15.1 |
| Isaac Jack * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | +17.5 |
| Kajus Kublickas * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -1.3 |
| Jaden Clayton | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | +12.7 |
| Jaion Pitt | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -6.6 |
| Alexis Marmolejos | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -7.7 |
| KC Ibekwe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
* = starter