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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 โœ“ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“

Actual: Pacific Tigers +28 (86-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rob Brown III * 28 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 5 -27.1
Collin O'Connor * 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 2 -19.5
Erik Pratt * 25 1-10 0-6 4-4 2 2 3 0 2 6 1 -21.4
Richard Goods * 24 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 8 7 -17.7
Quin Gorman * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -20.2
Tomas Valentiny 22 1-4 1-3 0-2 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 -16.5
Andrej Shoshkikj 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 2 -24.9
Oleg Kojenets 15 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 2 -3.3
Jonah Butler 12 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 +1.6
Ethan Simmon 7 1-4 0-2 5-5 1 0 1 0 0 7 5 +6.1
Toby Onyekonwu 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 5 +8.1
Leon Nahar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +6.1

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Rochelin * 28 1-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 4 5 6 +30.8
Elias Ralph * 27 6-11 1-2 4-4 1 3 0 2 0 17 12 +24.1
TJ Wainwright * 24 1-4 1-2 4-4 8 1 1 0 1 7 12 +15.6
Isaac Jack * 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 10 10 +15.8
Kajus Kublickas * 22 2-4 2-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 10 10 +6.2
Jaden Clayton 23 6-6 3-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 15 10 +23.9
Alexis Marmolejos 16 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 7 +17.2
Jaion Pitt 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 4 9 +10.1
KC Ibekwe 14 5-5 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 2 11 4 +1.6
Emmanuel Manyuon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -9.2
Carlsheon Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -6.1

* = starter