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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: Longwood Lancers +21 (100-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amourie Porter 35 9-18 1-2 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 21 11 -4.0
Madison Ruff 28 7-12 0-2 0-0 5 3 3 1 8 14 6 -22.5
Ryiah Wilson 26 3-9 1-5 1-2 3 3 3 0 1 8 7 -28.0
Mya Pierfax 25 2-8 0-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 6 -1 -3.4
Naomi Wilson 24 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 2 2 2 7 -0.6
Jada Ryce 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -14.4
Cori Lard 23 5-8 4-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 14 7 +0.5
Tocarra Johnson 16 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 5 10 7 -14.4

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown 34 7-12 6-8 1-2 2 5 4 0 3 21 17 +15.0
J. Peaks 29 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 8 1 0 0 8 13 +13.5
F. Ulysse 29 6-11 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 3 2 14 12 +3.9
J. Robinson 27 5-5 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 12 13 +8.5
O. Esenabhalu 22 3-8 0-0 4-6 10 2 0 1 2 10 13 +13.8
A. Harris 19 5-8 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 11 2 +7.5
J. Bolden 18 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 11 2 +10.3
J. Scott 14 3-7 1-3 3-3 4 4 2 0 3 10 10 +3.9
N. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.4
K. Washington 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 +0.5
L. Harvey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Booker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.3

* = starter