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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles South Carolina Upstate Spartans Spread Result
Elo 43.6% 56.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - ✓
Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% - ✓

Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amourie Porter 34 11-18 1-4 2-2 9 0 3 1 2 25 18 -7.0
Mya Pierfax 34 1-7 0-3 2-3 0 1 1 0 1 4 -2 +2.2
Madison Ruff 33 6-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 12 5 -6.9
Tocarra Johnson 26 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 1 2 7 10 -6.7
Jada Ryce 24 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 4 -1.9
Cori Lard 19 4-9 1-2 1-4 0 2 0 0 3 10 0 +1.3
Ryiah Wilson 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 4 1 2 0 3 +1.5
Naomi Wilson 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 +6.2

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cassie Gallagher 38 6-15 4-10 6-6 5 3 0 2 7 22 10 -0.3
Kinley Paterson 31 5-9 0-2 0-2 4 5 4 0 2 10 12 -4.4
Aubrie Kierscht 30 2-13 2-12 2-3 1 2 0 0 6 8 -8 -8.3
Aijah Palmore 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 6 8 +6.9
V. Söderblom 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 0 6 +9.0
Gwen Jenkins 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 +11.2
Emma Blair 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 6 10 -6.9
Zoe Richardson 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -1.0
Madison Miller 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 +0.1
Macy Wike 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +3.4
Lexi Castator 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +2.2

* = starter