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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Radford Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“

Actual: Radford Highlanders +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Tucker 37 6-9 0-0 5-6 16 2 0 0 4 17 22 -0.7
Jacoi Hutchinson 36 4-11 1-3 1-2 7 5 0 0 2 10 9 +11.2
Johan Nziemi 32 4-6 1-1 1-2 7 5 0 0 2 10 14 +2.6
Emanuel Richards 23 4-7 1-1 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 9 7 -7.9
Jaylen Benard 23 4-9 3-8 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 4 -3.2
Redd Thompson Jr. 23 7-12 4-7 3-4 0 2 0 0 1 21 10 +11.2
Elijah Jones 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 2 8 -2.8
Elijah Kelly 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.2
Alphonzo Billups III 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.9

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Parker Jr. 36 5-12 2-6 1-5 2 0 1 0 1 13 3 +2.7
Jaylon Johnson 35 2-6 1-5 5-7 1 7 1 0 0 10 13 +1.7
Del Jones 34 8-15 2-4 7-9 6 3 1 0 1 25 19 -4.4
Tyson Brown 32 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 3 8 3 -0.1
Lukas Walls 30 5-7 3-5 4-5 1 2 1 0 1 17 13 -2.4
Brennan Rigsby 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -4.3
Frederik Erichsen 13 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 8 5 -2.2
Mari Jordan 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 +0.4

* = starter